Monday, January 22, 2018

My 2018 Oscar Nominee Picks & Predictions

Every year since I started my blog in 2014, I've shared a series of posts relating to the Oscars. These posts encompass my takeaways from the announced nominations, my ceremony predictions, and a post including my thoughts on the winners. However, I'd like to introduce a new annual post where I share a list of my hypothetical nominees as well as my predictions for tomorrow's announced nominations. Essentially, I'll break each category down into my personal picks and my predictions. My personal picks are my hypothetical ballots for each category. This listing would be totally impractical for the purposes of predicting tomorrow's nominees, but I thought it would be fun to share. Since I've already shared my Top 10 Films of 2017, I'll do my best to objectively select ten films that I feel to be deserving of the honor rather than repeating my list of ten favorites films from last year. Also, keep in mind that my personal picks are only including films I've seen so I still have yet to see The Florida ProjectMudbound, and a couple other contenders. In regards to the predictions, I'll just be taking my best stab at what I feel will be recognized tomorrow. I'll probably be wrong often, but it will be fun to see how close I get at accurately guessing the nominees. 

My 2018 Oscar Nominee Picks and Predictions


Best Picture

My Personal Picks:
"Blade Runner 2049"
"Dunkirk"
"Get Out"
"Lady Bird"
"Logan"
"Phantom Thread"
"The Shape of Water"
"Star Wars: The Last Jedi"
"Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri"
"Wind River"

**The Academy has a sliding scale of 5-10 Best Picture nominees a year, so I'm listing nine in my predictions**

My Predictions: 
"Call Me By Your Name"
"Dunkirk"
"The Florida Project"
"Get Out"
"I, Tonya"
"Lady Bird"
"The Post"
"The Shape of Water"
"Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri"

Best Director

My Personal Picks:
Christopher Nolan, "Dunkirk"
Denis Villeneuve, "Blade Runner 2049"
Greta Gerwig, "Lady Bird"
Guillermo del Toro, "The Shape of Water"
Jordan Peele, "Get Out"

My Predictions:
Christopher Nolan, "Dunkirk"
Greta Gerwig, "Lady Bird"
Guillermo del Toro, "The Shape of Water"
Jordan Peele, "Get Out"
Martin McDonagh, "Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri"

Best Actor

My Personal Picks:
Daniel Day-Lewis, "Phantom Thread"
Gary Oldman, "Darkest Hour"
Hugh Jackman, "Logan"
James Franco, "The Disaster Artist"
Mark Hamill, "Star Wars: The Last Jedi"

My Predictions:
Daniel Day-Lewis, "Phantom Thread"
Daniel Kaluuya, "Get Out"
Gary Oldman, "Darkest Hour"
James Franco, "The Disaster Artist"
Timothée Chalamet, "Call Me By Your Name"

Best Actress

My Personal Picks:
Francis McDormand, "Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri"
Sally Hawkins, "The Shape of Water"
Saoirse Ronan, "Lady Bird"
Margot Robbie, "I, Tonya"
Meryl Streep, "The Post"

My Predictions:
Francis McDormand, "Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri"
Sally Hawkins, "The Shape of Water"
Saoirse Ronan, "Lady Bird"
Margot Robbie, "I, Tonya"
Meryl Streep, "The Post"

Best Supporting Actor

My Personal Picks:
Adam Driver, "Star Wars: The Last Jedi"
Michael Shannon, "The Shape of Water"
Patrick Stewart, "Logan"
Sam Rockwell, "Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri"
Will Poulter, "Detroit"

My Predictions:
Armie Hammer, "Call Me By Your Name"
Christopher Plummer, "All the Money in the World"
Richard Jenkins, "The Shape of Water"
Sam Rockwell, "Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri"
Willem Dafoe, "The Florida Project"

Best Supporting Actress

My Personal Picks:
Allison Janney, "I, Tonya"
Ana De Armas, "Blade Runner 2049"
Holly Hunter, "The Big Sick"
Laurie Metcalf, "Lady Bird"
Octavia Spencer, "The Shape of Water"

My Predictions:
Allison Janney, "I, Tonya"
Holly Hunter, "The Big Sick"
Laurie Metcalf, "Lady Bird"
Mary J. Blige, "Mudbound"
Octavia Spencer, "The Shape of Water"

Best Original Screenplay

My Personal Picks:
"Get Out"
"The Killing of a Sacred Deer"
"Lady Bird"
"The Shape of Water"
"Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri"

My Predictions:
"Get Out"
"Lady Bird"
"The Post"
"The Shape of Water"
"Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri"

Best Adapted Screenplay

My Personal Picks:
"Blade Runner 2049"
"Logan"
"Molly's Game"
"The Disaster Artist"
"Wonder Woman"

My Predictions:
"Call Me By Your Name"
"The Disaster Artist"
"Logan"
"Molly's Game"
"Wonder"

Best Film Editing

My Personal Picks:
"Baby Driver"
"Blade Runner 2049"
"Dunkirk"
"The Shape of Water"
"Star Wars: The Last Jedi"

My Predictions:
"Baby Driver"
"Blade Runner 2049"
"Dunkirk"
"The Shape of Water"
"The Post"

Best Cinematography

My Personal Picks:
"Blade Runner 2049"
"Dunkirk"
"mother!"
"The Shape of Water"
"Star Wars: The Last Jedi"

My Predictions:
"Blade Runner 2049"
"Darkest Hour"
"Dunkirk"
"Mudbound"
"The Shape of Water"

Best Costume Design

My Personal Picks:
"Baby Driver"
"Blade Runner 2049"
"Beauty and the Beast"
"Phantom Thread"
"Wonder Woman"

My Predictions:
"Beauty and the Beast"
"The Greatest Showman"
"Murder on the Orient Express"
"Phantom Thread"
"The Shape of Water"

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

My Personal Picks:
"Darkest Hour"
"Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2"
"It"
"Logan"
"The Shape of Water"

**The Academy only nominates three films for Makeup and Hairstyling**

My Predictions:
"Darkest Hour"
"Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2"
"Wonder"

Best Production Design

My Personal Picks:
"Beauty and the Beast"
"Blade Runner 2049"
"Dunkirk"
"The Shape of Water"
"Star Wars: The Last Jedi"

My Predictions:
"Beauty and the Beast"
"Blade Runner 2049"
"Darkest Hour"
"Dunkirk"
"The Shape of Water"


Best Visual Effects

My Personal Picks:
"Blade Runner 2049"
"Dunkirk"
"The Shape of Water"
"Star Wars: The Last Jedi"
"War For The Planet of The Apes"

My Predictions:
"Blade Runner 2049"
"Dunkirk"
"The Shape of Water"
"Star Wars: The Last Jedi"
"War For The Planet of The Apes"

Best Sound Editing

My Personal Picks:
"Alien: Covenant"
"Baby Driver"
"Blade Runner 2049"
"Dunkirk"
"Star Wars: The Last Jedi"

My Predictions:
"Baby Driver"
"Blade Runner 2049"
"Dunkirk"
"The Shape of Water"
"Star Wars: The Last Jedi"

Best Sound Mixing

My Personal Picks:
"Alien: Covenant"
"Baby Driver"
"Blade Runner 2049"
"Dunkirk"
"Star Wars: The Last Jedi"

My Predictions:
"Baby Driver"
"Blade Runner 2049"
"Dunkirk"
"The Shape of Water"
"Star Wars: The Last Jedi"

Best Original Song

My Personal Picks:
"Evermore" from "Beauty and the Beast"
"The Greatest Show" from "The Greatest Showman"
"Mystery of Love" from "Call Me By Your Name"
"Remember Me" from "Coco"
"This is Me" from "The Greatest Showman"

My Predictions:
"Evermore" from "Beauty and the Beast"
"Mystery of Love" from "Call Me By Your Name"
"Never Enough" from "The Greatest Showman"
"Remember Me" from "Coco"
"This is Me" from "The Greatest Showman"

Best Original Score

My Personal Picks:
"Blade Runner 2049"
"Dunkirk"
"Star Wars: The Last Jedi"
"The Shape of Water"
"War For The Planet of The Apes"

My Predictions:
"Darkest Hour"
"Dunkirk"
"Phantom Thread"
"The Post"
"The Shape of Water"

Best Animated Feature

My Personal Picks:
"Cars 3"
"Coco"
"The LEGO Batman Movie"
"The LEGO Ninjago Movie"
"Ferdinand"

My Predictions:
"The Breadwinner"
"Coco"
"Despicable Me 3"
"The LEGO Batman Movie"
"Loving Vincent"

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